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Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections

Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections

A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures

by Gunther Schmidt and Winfried Schroeder
Paperback
Publication Date: 08/01/2014

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This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.
ISBN:
9783319038223
9783319038223
Category:
The environment
Format:
Paperback
Publication Date:
08-01-2014
Language:
English
Publisher:
Springer International Publishing AG
Country of origin:
Switzerland
Pages:
58
Dimensions (mm):
235x155x5mm
Weight:
1.18kg

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