The Black Swan

The Black Swan

by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Epub (Kobo), Epub (Adobe)
Publication Date: 03/04/2008

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The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty


What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?


This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.


'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday


'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

ISBN:
9780141906201
9780141906201
Category:
Philosophy: epistemology & theory of knowledge
Format:
Epub (Kobo), Epub (Adobe)
Publication Date:
03-04-2008
Language:
English
Publisher:
Penguin Books Ltd
Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent two decades as a risk taker before becoming a full-time essayist and scholar focusing on practical and philosophical problems with chance, luck, and probability. His focus in on how different systems handle disorder.

He now spends most of his time in the intense seclusion of his study, or as a flâneur meditating in cafés. In addition to his life as a trader he spend several years as an academic researcher ( Distinguished Professor at New York University's School of Engineering, Dean's Professor at U. Mass Amherst).

He is the author of the Incerto (latin for uncertainty), accessible in any order (Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes, and Fooled by Randomness) plus a freely available technical version, Silent Risk.

Taleb has also published close to 55 academic and scholarly papers as a backup, technical footnotes to the Incerto in topics ranging from Statistical Physics to International affairs. Taleb's books have more than 100 translations in 35 languages.

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